In a publish on his private weblog, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman mentioned that he believes OpenAI “know[s] how you can construct [artificial general intelligence]” because it has historically understood it — and is starting to show its purpose to “superintelligence.”
“We love our present merchandise, however we’re right here for the wonderful future,” Altman wrote within the publish, which was revealed Sunday night. “Superintelligent instruments might massively speed up scientific discovery and innovation properly past what we’re able to doing on our personal, and in flip massively improve abundance and prosperity.”
AGI, or synthetic basic intelligence, is a nebulous time period. But OpenAI has its personal definition: “extremely autonomous methods that outperform people at most economically priceless work.” OpenAI and Microsoft, the startup’s shut collaborator and investor, even have a definition of AGI: AI methods that may generate a minimum of $100 billion in earnings. When OpenAI achieves this, Microsoft will lose entry to its know-how, per an settlement between the 2 firms.
So which definition would possibly Altman be referring to? He doesn’t say explicitly. But it appears possible he means the previous. In the essay, Altman thinks AI brokers — AI fashions that may carry out sure duties autonomously — could “be part of the workforce” and “materially change the output of firms.”
That’s potential. But it’s additionally true that right now’s AI know-how has vital technical limitations. It hallucinates. It makes errors apparent to any human. Altman appears assured this may be overcome — and fairly shortly — but when there’s something we’ve discovered about AI over the previous few years, it’s that timelines could be unpredictable.
