If there was one phrase that captured the vibe and theme of 2024 — at the very least within the transportation sector — it was “enterprise whiplash.” Legacy automakers modified path on their all-EVs-or-bust technique, startups pivoted, and a few Silicon Valley VCs and executives adjusted their views on a altering political panorama by which they now are enjoying starring roles.
Jaguar went in a wholly new polarizing path with a rebranding that received plenty of consideration — and lit social media on hearth, at the very least for just a few days. GM slowed its EV plans and was compelled to alter lanes on software program — an inner restructure accelerated by issues with the Chevy Blazer EV that has had optimistic developments. But the automaker’s most hanging shift was its determination to not fund improvement of the Cruise robotaxi.
Everywhere we seemed, founders, VCs, and automotive execs had been altering course to make the most of shifting client demand and, in lots of circumstances, to easily survive.
Here are the most important subjects and tales in transportation in 2024.
Autonomous cars: Pivots, survivors, and scale
The buzzy years of autonomous car tech — from 2016 to 2020 — are lengthy gone, and the hype cycle has introduced us by the trough of disillusionment. A handful of remaining AV startups, together with Ghost Autonomy and Phantom Auto, which had already pivoted, took their remaining breaths in 2024. Other AV startups took a cue from their brethren in different sectors and turned to protection, formally changing into dual-use corporations. And others, like TuSimple, have pivoted virtually solely away from growing autonomous expertise and as a substitute have moved to embrace *checks notes* AI animation and gaming.
The path to a business robotaxi enterprise remains to be fraught. GM determined to not fund the Cruise robotaxi improvement program; the automaker will now use that tech and expertise to incrementally enhance its hands-off superior driver-assistance system and finally introduce private autonomous autos.
AVs did, nonetheless, get a lift because of a booming and hypey AI trade and newfound curiosity within the end-to-end strategy to autonomy (simply ask Wayve). Waymo and Zoox, two well-funded AV corporations, are nonetheless on the business robotaxi path. And in fact there’s Tesla, which this 12 months revealed its Cybercab prototype with plans to begin manufacturing in 2025 or 2026. CEO Elon Musk additionally promised to unleash “unsupervised FSD” and launch a robotaxi service in California and Texas subsequent 12 months, however we’re taking these guarantees with a heavy dose of skepticism given Musk’s penchant for lacking deadlines.
Other AV must-reads of 2024:
EVs are put to the check
Legacy automakers like Ford and GM spent billions of {dollars} beefing up their electrical car lineups and investing in U.S. battery manufacturing services to maintain on high of provide chains. EV gross sales — bolstered by the Biden administration’s EV tax credit score — continued to succeed in report highs this 12 months. But automakers and traders have feared that gross sales for electrical automobiles, which accounted for 8.9% of complete auto gross sales within the third quarter, haven’t risen on the tempo they’d hoped for. Tesla even noticed its personal income drop at the beginning of the 12 months, with Musk noting that automakers had been pulling again from EVs resulting from strain from hybrids. That pullback may simply proceed into 2025 with the incoming administration’s plans to chop the EV tax credit score.
Meanwhile in EV startup land, the SPAC mannequin has continued to show unsuccessful for driving long-term enterprise progress. We chronicled the messy downfall of Fisker — which crumbled beneath its founders’ whims — together with how the startup left its HQ in full disarray and needed to signal a take care of American Lease, the corporate that purchased Fisker’s fleet, to assist homeowners get assist with recall repairs.
Canoo has additionally struggled to keep up sufficient money to function, and in December it started to furlough employees. Perhaps the startup’s cash troubles got here from unsustainable spending habits, like spending double Canoo’s annual income on CEO Tony Aquila’s non-public jet or buying the belongings of its bankrupt peer Arrival.
Faraday Future, regardless of elevating over $1 billion when it merged with a SPAC in 2021, can be sinking quick — to the purpose the place information mining firm Palantir now owns an 8.7% stake within the firm after Faraday was unable to pay for providers rendered.
One of the one new EV gamers that didn’t go public by a particular objective acquisition merger was Rivian. While Rivian hasn’t had the smoothest run since its record-breaking Stock Launch, the EV maker hit some main milestones in 2024, albeit with some pace bumps alongside the best way, together with a collection of lawsuits alleging high executives of harassment.
Rivian unveiled in March its next-generation R2 SUV and a shock R3 hatchback. In the summer time, Rivian’s path to survival grew to become linked to with the ability to promote its revamped R1T pickup and the R1S SUV at a revenue to maintain itself lengthy sufficient to get its cheaper R2 SUV on the highway. Rivian even snagged a $6.6 billion mortgage to restart manufacturing on its Georgia plant, though it seems that deal was helped alongside because of a secret settlement with the United Auto Workers union.
Tesla was in a state of flux as Musk fought to carry on to his $56 billion pay package deal by sheer willpower and investor loyalty. The automaker issued mass layoffs this 12 months, axed its total Supercharger group, deserted plans to construct a $25,000 EV, oversaw seven Cybertruck recollects, and unveiled its robotaxi prototype.
Other EV must-reads of 2024:
eVTOLs are nonetheless attracting traders
This was a 12 months of huge intentions for the electrical vertical takeoff and touchdown (eVTOL) autos trade. It felt like each different week there was an announcement as two of the most important gamers — Joby Aviation and Archer Aviation — shared plans for future business electrical air taxi launches beginning in 2025.
It’s additionally been a 12 months of huge fundraises as each corporations tried to safe additional cash to attain Federal Aviation Administration certification and launch business air taxi providers in 2025. Joby, for instance, first secured a $500 million bag from Toyota, then raised $222 million earlier than launching a $300 million public providing. Archer not too long ago raised $430 million and teamed up with Anduril to dive into protection — a theme we’re anticipating to proceed into 2025 as protection tech heats up. And Beta Technologies raised a $318 million Series C.
There had been additionally loads of partnerships between eVTOL startups and extra conventional air carriers — like Beta’s current win with Air New Zealand — and the event of vertiports in key city areas throughout the U.S., Europe, and Asia.
Not each startup has been so fortunate, although, as corporations burned by capital and failed to seek out extra funding. German eVTOL startup Lilium filed for chapter after failing to boost sufficient capital to proceed. In December, the corporate shut down and laid off 1,000 employees however seems to have gotten a last-minute lifeline from an investor. Stay tuned.
Next 12 months, 2025, would be the 12 months we’ll see if the businesses that stay can safe correct FAA approval and start to make a enterprise out of eVTOLs.
Here are another eVTOL must-reads of 2024:
Micromobility wobbles ahead
The hype over shared micromobility has lengthy since died. This 12 months noticed the final gasps of consolidation, pivots, and some survivors.
Tier and Dott lastly merged, and Lime continued on its regular path to, if not constant profitability, at the very least sustainability and market dominance.
VanMoof’s chapter in 2023 revealed how troublesome it’s to scale a brand new e-bike enterprise, regardless of a client urge for food for attractive, smooth e-bikes. Cake filed for chapter at the beginning of the 12 months, and Onyx Motorbikes was on the verge of chapter when its 37-year-old proprietor died out of the blue, leaving an absolute mess in his wake. Cake and Onyx have been given contemporary possibilities of survival in 2025.
Some startups have managed to discover a method to maintain an e-bike enterprise afloat. Just have a look at Joco. The startup has fought the chances and managed to show its docked e-bike rental service for supply employees right into a worthwhile enterprise and has even branched out into constructing battery-charging cupboards.
Here is one other micromobility must-read of 2024:
